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Trending Breaking New Politics Sports Crypto Finance Geopolitics Earnings Tech Culture World Economy Trump Elections Mentions More Polymarket | The World's Largest Prediction Market Search Epstein client list released by...? card icon Epstein client list released by...? December 31 9% Yes9% No91% June 30 29% Yes29% No71% $2m Vol. Logan Paul’s Pikachu Illustrator Sale Price card icon Logan Paul’s Pikachu Illustrator Sale Price >$4m 91% Yes91% No9% >$5m 86% Yes86% No14% >$6m 78% Yes78% No22% >$7m 70% Yes70% No30% >$8m 61% Yes61% No39% $631k Vol. Will Netflix close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026? card icon Will Netflix close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026? 28% chance Yes No $257k Vol. Will there be another US government shutdown by January 31? card icon Will there be another US government shutdown by January 31? 26% chance Yes No $433k Vol. Lighter market cap (FDV) one day after launch? card icon Lighter market cap (FDV) one day after launch? >$1B 93% Yes93% No7% >$2B 85% Yes85% No15% >$3B 41% Yes41% No59% >$4B 21% Yes21% No79% >$6B 6% Yes6% No94% $43m Vol. Zelenskyy wears a suit and tie during next Trump meeting? card icon Zelenskyy wears a suit and tie during next Trump meeting? 9% chance Yes No $148k Vol. Thailand x Cambodia ceasefire by...? card icon Thailand x Cambodia ceasefire by...? December 31 78% Yes78% No22% January 31 90% Yes90% No10% March 31 96% Yes96% No4% $2m Vol. U.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship by...? card icon U.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship by...? December 26 6% Yes6% No94% December 31 44% Yes44% No56% $463k Vol. Brazil Presidential Election card icon Brazil Presidential Election Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva 50% Yes50% No50% Flávio Bolsonaro 20% Yes20% No80% Tarcisio de Freitas 15% Yes15% No85% Renan Santos 7% Yes7% No93% Ratinho Júnior 4% Yes4% No96% $9m Vol. Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair? card icon Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair? Kevin Hassett 49% Yes49% No51% Kevin Warsh 30% Yes30% No70% Christopher Waller 11% Yes11% No89% Rick Rieder 7% Yes7% No93% Scott Bessent 2% Yes2% No98% $89m Vol. US x Venezuela military engagement by...? card icon US x Venezuela military engagement by...? December 31 6% Yes6% No94% January 15, 2026 17% Yes17% No83% January 31, 2026 27% Yes27% No73% March 31, 2026 52% Yes52% No48% $44m Vol. Who will be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet? card icon Who will be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet? Pam Bondi 26% Yes26% No74% Kristi Noem 18% Yes18% No82% Pete Hegseth 14% Yes14% No86% Chris Wright 7% Yes7% No93% Susie Wiles 7% Yes7% No93% $533k Vol. Elon Musk # tweets December 19 - December 26, 2025? card icon Elon Musk # tweets December 19 - December 26, 2025? 340-359 100% Yes100% No<1% 360-379 <1% Yes<1% No100% 380-399 <1% Yes<1% No100% 400-419 <1% Yes<1% No100% 420-439 <1% Yes<1% No100% 440-459 <1% Yes<1% No100% 460-479 <1% Yes<1% No100% 480-499 <1% Yes<1% No100% 500-519 <1% Yes<1% No100% 520-539 <1% Yes<1% No100% 540-559 <1% Yes<1% No100% $16m Vol. Weekly What price will Bitcoin hit in 2025? card icon What price will Bitcoin hit in 2025? ↑ 1,000,000 <1% Yes<1% No100% ↑ 250,000 <1% Yes<1% No100% ↑ 200,000 <1% Yes<1% No100% ↑ 170,000 <1% Yes<1% No100% ↑ 150,000 <1% Yes<1% No100% ↑ 140,000 <1% Yes<1% No100% ↑ 130,000 <1% Yes<1% No100% ↑ 120,000 <1% Yes<1% No100% ↑ 115,000 <1% Yes<1% No100% ↑ 110,000 <1% Yes<1% No100% ↑ 105,000 1% Yes1% No99% $168m Vol. Monthly What price will Ethereum hit in 2025? card icon What price will Ethereum hit in 2025? $17,000 <1% Yes<1% No100% $14,000 <1% Yes<1% No100% $10,000 <1% Yes<1% No100% $8,000 <1% Yes<1% No100% $7,000 <1% Yes<1% No100% $6,000 <1% Yes<1% No100% $5,000 <1% Yes<1% No100% $1,300 <1% Yes<1% No100% $1,000 <1% Yes<1% No100% $800 <1% Yes<1% No100% $71m Vol. Monthly Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 card icon Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 Gina Raimondo <1% Yes<1% No100% Bernie Sanders <1% Yes<1% No100% Oprah Winfrey <1% Yes<1% No100% $409m Vol. Epstein blackmail evidence released by...? card icon Epstein blackmail evidence released by...? December 31 100% Yes100% No<1% March 31 74% Yes74% No26% $8m Vol. 2nd Largest company end of 2025? card icon 2nd Largest company end of 2025? Apple 98% Yes98% No2% Alphabet 1% Yes1% No99% NVIDIA <1% Yes<1% No100% Microsoft <1% Yes<1% No100% Tesla <1% Yes<1% No100% Amazon <1% Yes<1% No100% Saudi Aramco <1% Yes<1% No100% Oracle <1% Yes<1% No100% $12m Vol. Monthly Republican Presidential Nominee 2028 card icon Republican Presidential Nominee 2028 J.D. Vance 54% Yes54% No46% Marco Rubio 9% Yes9% No91% Donald Trump 5% Yes5% No95% Ron DeSantis 4% Yes4% No96% Tucker Carlson 3% Yes3% No97% Ted Cruz 2% Yes2% No98% Marjorie Taylor Greene 2% Yes2% No98% Donald Trump Jr. 2% Yes2% No98% Glenn Youngkin 2% Yes2% No98% Brian Kemp 1% Yes1% No99% Ivanka Trump 1% Yes1% No99% $138m Vol. 2026 FIFA World Cup Winner card icon 2026 FIFA World Cup Winner